PGA · Archived event · 2026
2026-03-01 · 123 player field · Winner: Nakajima, Keita
GolfIQ · Live storyline
Pre-tournament favorite finished
—
highest pre-tournament win prob
Top-10 hit rate
—
actual top-10 found in predicted top-10
Predicted field
123
players in pre-tournament archive
Final results
123 players
| Fin | Player | Pre-win% | Total | R1 | R2 | R3 | R4 | SG Total | OTT | APP | ARG | PUTT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | 25210.0% | 73 | 73 | — | — | — | -1.70 | +1.41 | +2.88 | -1.99 | -4.00 | |
| — |
Closing-line value
top 10 by edge
| Player | Open | Close | Edge | Finish | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +2001 | +1501 | +5999993.8% | CUT | loss | |
| +2001 | +1001 | +1999990.9% | CUT | loss | |
 |
| 24793.0% |
| 143 |
| 69 |
| 74 |
| — |
| — |
| -0.26 |
| +0.58 |
| +1.41 |
| -0.36 |
| -1.89 |
| — | 3829.0% | 143 | 72 | 71 | — | — | -0.26 | +0.59 | -1.18 | +0.09 | +0.25 |
| — | 29126.0% | 143 | 74 | 69 | — | — | -0.26 | -0.83 | +1.94 | -0.66 | -0.71 |
| — | 25105.0% | 143 | 70 | 73 | — | — | -0.26 | -0.09 | -0.87 | +0.63 | +0.07 |
| — | 10345.0% | 143 | 72 | 71 | — | — | -0.26 | -0.48 | +0.14 | +0.11 | -0.03 |
| — | 5231.0% | 143 | 73 | 70 | — | — | -0.26 | -0.05 | +2.50 | +0.09 | -2.80 |
| — | 20339.0% | 143 | 73 | 70 | — | — | -0.26 | -1.13 | +0.67 | -1.75 | +1.95 |
| — | 10989.0% | 143 | 71 | 72 | — | — | -0.26 | +0.96 | -1.26 | +0.30 | -0.26 |
| — | 30000.0% | 143 | 73 | 70 | — | — | -0.26 | +0.49 | -0.44 | -0.09 | -0.23 |
| — | 18750.0% | 143 | 74 | 69 | — | — | -0.26 | -0.46 | +0.54 | -0.45 | +0.11 |
| — | 9740.0% | 143 | 68 | 75 | — | — | -0.26 | +0.28 | +0.48 | +0.15 | -1.17 |
| — | 85714.0% | 143 | 70 | 73 | — | — | -0.26 | +0.73 | -1.25 | -0.10 | +0.36 |
| — | 54054.0% | 143 | 72 | 71 | — | — | -0.26 | +0.44 | +0.34 | -0.53 | -0.51 |
| — | 30769.0% | 144 | 70 | 74 | — | — | -0.76 | -0.02 | -2.21 | +0.82 | +0.65 |
| — | 29412.0% | 144 | 72 | 72 | — | — | -0.76 | -0.06 | -1.65 | -0.57 | +1.52 |
| — | 28436.0% | 144 | 75 | 69 | — | — | -0.76 | -0.17 | -1.77 | +1.05 | +0.13 |
| — | 58824.0% | 144 | 72 | 72 | — | — | -0.76 | -0.16 | +0.03 | -0.66 | +0.03 |
| — | 86957.0% | 144 | 73 | 71 | — | — | -0.76 | -1.02 | -0.67 | +1.28 | -0.35 |
| — | 89552.0% | 144 | 74 | 70 | — | — | -0.76 | -0.18 | -1.10 | -0.47 | +0.98 |
| — | 6536.0% | 144 | 70 | 74 | — | — | -0.76 | -0.56 | +0.80 | +0.49 | -1.49 |
| — | 29126.0% | 144 | 72 | 72 | — | — | -0.76 | -0.84 | +0.45 | -0.46 | +0.09 |
| — | 8559.0% | 144 | 71 | 73 | — | — | -0.76 | +0.08 | +2.42 | -0.84 | -2.43 |
| — | 11673.0% | 144 | 70 | 74 | — | — | -0.76 | -0.42 | +0.06 | +0.71 | -1.12 |
| — | 12121.0% | 144 | 70 | 74 | — | — | -0.76 | +0.29 | -3.26 | +0.23 | +1.98 |
| — | 12712.0% | 144 | 72 | 72 | — | — | -0.76 | +0.07 | -0.18 | -1.63 | +0.97 |
| — | 25751.0% | 144 | 72 | 72 | — | — | -0.76 | +0.59 | -0.22 | -0.53 | -0.60 |
| — | 58824.0% | 145 | 70 | 75 | — | — | -1.26 | -1.17 | -0.18 | +0.37 | -0.27 |
| — | 52174.0% | 145 | 73 | 72 | — | — | -1.26 | -0.98 | -2.01 | +0.50 | +1.23 |
| — | 222222.0% | 145 | 71 | 74 | — | — | -1.26 | -0.45 | -1.64 | -0.69 | +1.52 |
| — | 50420.0% | 145 | 75 | 70 | — | — | -1.26 | -1.67 | -1.61 | +0.87 | +1.16 |
| — | 6243.0% | 145 | 70 | 75 | — | — | -1.26 | +0.37 | -0.95 | -1.11 | +0.42 |
| — | 49587.0% | 145 | 73 | 72 | — | — | -1.26 | -1.02 | +0.51 | +0.71 | -1.46 |
| — | 16173.0% | 145 | 71 | 74 | — | — | -1.26 | +0.52 | +0.08 | -1.74 | -0.12 |
| — | 11788.0% | 146 | 74 | 72 | — | — | -1.76 | -0.96 | -1.53 | -0.14 | +0.87 |
| — | 50847.0% | 146 | 72 | 74 | — | — | -1.76 | -0.13 | -1.90 | +0.60 | -0.33 |
| — | 78947.0% | 146 | 73 | 73 | — | — | -1.76 | +0.55 | +0.37 | -1.32 | -1.36 |
| — | 82192.0% | 147 | 74 | 73 | — | — | -2.26 | -2.86 | -0.24 | +0.86 | -0.01 |
| — | 66667.0% | 147 | 74 | 73 | — | — | -2.26 | -1.29 | -0.76 | -1.06 | +0.85 |
| — | 73171.0% | 147 | 75 | 72 | — | — | -2.26 | +0.56 | -1.54 | -0.58 | -0.70 |
| — | 24291.0% | 147 | 75 | 72 | — | — | -2.26 | -0.95 | -3.14 | +0.55 | +1.27 |
| — | 17804.0% | 147 | 69 | 78 | — | — | -2.26 | +0.57 | -1.76 | -0.83 | -0.24 |
| — | 6000000.0% | 148 | 74 | 74 | — | — | -2.76 | -0.35 | -1.07 | -1.79 | +0.45 |
| — | 61856.0% | 148 | 74 | 74 | — | — | -2.76 | -0.08 | +0.43 | -0.68 | -2.43 |
| — | 157895.0% | 149 | 73 | 76 | — | — | -3.26 | -1.99 | -0.57 | +0.58 | -1.28 |
| — | 21583.0% | 149 | 75 | 74 | — | — | -3.26 | -0.96 | -0.55 | -0.88 | -0.88 |
| — | 66667.0% | 149 | 75 | 74 | — | — | -3.26 | -0.52 | -2.50 | -0.58 | +0.34 |
| — | 2000000.0% | 150 | 77 | 73 | — | — | -3.76 | -1.55 | -1.11 | +0.87 | -1.96 |
| — | 109091.0% | 150 | 77 | 73 | — | — | -3.76 | -0.27 | -0.69 | -0.71 | -2.09 |
| — | 4963.0% | 150 | 78 | 72 | — | — | -3.76 | +0.02 | -0.94 | -0.48 | -2.36 |
| — | 93750.0% | 151 | 77 | 74 | — | — | -4.26 | -0.14 | -1.32 | -2.04 | -0.76 |
| — | 8982.0% | 151 | 80 | 71 | — | — | -4.26 | -1.69 | -1.81 | -0.76 | +0.00 |
| — | 53571.0% | 152 | 72 | 80 | — | — | -4.76 | -1.24 | -1.40 | -0.92 | -1.19 |
| — | 181818.0% | 152 | 75 | 77 | — | — | -4.76 | -3.28 | -2.64 | +0.90 | +0.26 |
| — | 21505.0% | 153 | 77 | 76 | — | — | -5.26 | -0.05 | -1.50 | -1.36 | -2.35 |
| — | 73171.0% | 155 | 77 | 78 | — | — | -6.26 | -1.36 | -2.34 | -0.53 | -2.03 |
| — | 7308.0% | 267 | 63 | 72 | 66 | 66 | +3.51 | +0.28 | +1.49 | +0.67 | +1.07 |
| — | 14851.0% | 269 | 67 | 67 | 67 | 68 | +3.01 | +0.12 | +0.23 | +1.58 | +1.07 |
| — | 24194.0% | 269 | 62 | 69 | 69 | 69 | +3.01 | +0.80 | +1.26 | +0.31 | +0.64 |
| — | 2058.0% | 269 | 70 | 67 | 63 | 69 | +3.01 | +0.18 | +1.19 | +0.38 | +1.27 |
| — | 7585.0% | 271 | 69 | 70 | 64 | 68 | +2.51 | +0.65 | +1.02 | +0.34 | +0.49 |
| — | 3458.0% | 273 | 68 | 73 | 64 | 68 | +2.01 | +0.57 | +1.11 | -0.17 | +0.50 |
| — | 28708.0% | 273 | 68 | 70 | 68 | 67 | +2.01 | +1.01 | +0.10 | -0.13 | +1.03 |
| — | 2491.0% | 273 | 70 | 72 | 66 | 65 | +2.01 | +0.35 | +1.17 | +0.23 | +0.26 |
| — | 12146.0% | 274 | 74 | 66 | 69 | 65 | +1.76 | +0.48 | +0.73 | -0.14 | +0.68 |
| — | 17045.0% | 274 | 69 | 70 | 67 | 68 | +1.76 | +0.48 | +0.83 | +0.03 | +0.42 |
| — | 3257.0% | 274 | 69 | 72 | 66 | 67 | +1.76 | -0.26 | +1.36 | -0.07 | +0.73 |
| — | 10381.0% | 274 | 68 | 68 | 68 | 70 | +1.76 | +0.94 | +1.37 | -0.39 | -0.16 |
| — | 98361.0% | 275 | 67 | 70 | 72 | 66 | +1.51 | +0.16 | +0.51 | -0.20 | +1.04 |
| — | 35294.0% | 275 | 71 | 64 | 68 | 72 | +1.51 | -0.24 | +0.78 | -0.30 | +1.27 |
| — | 60606.0% | 275 | 70 | 72 | 63 | 70 | +1.51 | -0.45 | +1.26 | +0.57 | +0.12 |
| — | 8487.0% | 275 | 73 | 66 | 69 | 67 | +1.51 | +0.64 | +0.21 | +0.26 | +0.40 |
| — | 20000.0% | 276 | 73 | 66 | 67 | 70 | +1.26 | +0.70 | -0.93 | +0.63 | +0.85 |
| — | 29703.0% | 276 | 71 | 69 | 68 | 68 | +1.26 | +0.38 | -1.02 | -0.06 | +1.97 |
| — | 7435.0% | 276 | 67 | 70 | 69 | 70 | +1.26 | +0.46 | -0.31 | +0.45 | +0.66 |
| — | 23077.0% | 276 | 68 | 72 | 68 | 68 | +1.26 | +0.85 | +0.31 | -0.27 | +0.38 |
| — | 14670.0% | 276 | 68 | 70 | 69 | 69 | +1.26 | -0.84 | +1.69 | -0.06 | +0.47 |
| — | 12422.0% | 276 | 72 | 68 | 66 | 70 | +1.26 | -0.77 | +1.63 | +0.71 | -0.32 |
| — | 12097.0% | 277 | 71 | 71 | 65 | 70 | +1.01 | +0.02 | +0.66 | +0.35 | -0.02 |
| — | 28571.0% | 277 | 70 | 71 | 67 | 69 | +1.01 | -0.36 | +0.34 | +1.02 | +0.01 |
| +1251 |
| +751 |
| +222210.2% |
| CUT |
| loss |
| +501 | +501 | +214269.4% | T32 | loss |
| +451 | +501 | +181801.4% | CUT | loss |
| +501 | +501 | +157878.4% | CUT | loss |
| +1251 | +1001 | +109081.9% | CUT | loss |
| +601 | +601 | +105248.7% | T32 | loss |
| +601 | +351 | +101672.8% | T40 | loss |
| +751 | +751 | +98349.2% | T13 | loss |
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