PGA · Archived event · 2025
2025-02-09 · 132 player field · Winner: Spaun, J.J.
GolfIQ · Live storyline
Pre-tournament favorite finished
—
highest pre-tournament win prob
Top-10 hit rate
—
actual top-10 found in predicted top-10
Predicted field
132
players in pre-tournament archive
Final results
132 players
| Fin | Player | Pre-win% | Total | R1 | R2 | R3 | R4 | SG Total | OTT | APP | ARG | PUTT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | 7519.0% | 73 | 73 | — | — | — | -2.14 | -4.14 | +1.82 | -0.79 | +0.97 | |
| — |
Closing-line value
top 10 by edge
| Player | Open | Close | Edge | Finish | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +2501 | +2001 | +5999995.2% | T49 | loss | |
| +2501 | +2501 | +2999996.2% | CUT | loss | |
 |
| 9631.0% |
| 74 |
| 74 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| -3.14 |
| -0.13 |
| -0.00 |
| -0.58 |
| -2.43 |
| — | 50847.0% | 141 | 71 | 70 | — | — | -0.43 | -0.06 | -0.54 | -0.49 | +0.68 |
| — | 14184.0% | 141 | 69 | 72 | — | — | -0.43 | -0.66 | -0.15 | +0.17 | +0.22 |
| — | 230769.0% | 141 | 69 | 72 | — | — | -0.43 | -0.14 | +0.37 | +0.11 | -0.76 |
| — | 9772.0% | 141 | 72 | 69 | — | — | -0.43 | +0.82 | +0.57 | -0.25 | -1.56 |
| — | 13393.0% | 141 | 74 | 67 | — | — | -0.43 | +0.84 | -0.31 | +0.19 | -1.15 |
| — | 13043.0% | 141 | 69 | 72 | — | — | -0.43 | -1.46 | -0.60 | +0.16 | +1.48 |
| — | 83333.0% | 141 | 70 | 71 | — | — | -0.43 | +0.31 | -1.23 | -0.54 | +1.03 |
| — | 176471.0% | 141 | 70 | 71 | — | — | -0.43 | +0.47 | +0.54 | -1.18 | -0.24 |
| — | 107143.0% | 141 | 73 | 68 | — | — | -0.43 | +0.96 | -1.44 | -0.92 | +0.98 |
| — | 72289.0% | 141 | 70 | 71 | — | — | -0.43 | +0.12 | +0.40 | +0.01 | -0.95 |
| — | 29268.0% | 142 | 71 | 71 | — | — | -0.93 | -0.45 | -1.48 | +1.30 | -0.29 |
| — | 65217.0% | 142 | 73 | 69 | — | — | -0.93 | -0.88 | -0.85 | +0.03 | +0.77 |
| — | 11583.0% | 142 | 75 | 67 | — | — | -0.93 | +0.57 | -0.44 | +0.90 | -1.96 |
| — | 34091.0% | 142 | 70 | 72 | — | — | -0.93 | +0.36 | +0.62 | -1.32 | -0.58 |
| — | 28436.0% | 142 | 72 | 70 | — | — | -0.93 | -0.19 | -0.86 | -0.15 | +0.28 |
| — | 157895.0% | 142 | 74 | 68 | — | — | -0.93 | -0.39 | +0.77 | -0.17 | -1.14 |
| — | 67416.0% | 142 | 73 | 69 | — | — | -0.93 | -0.77 | -0.32 | -1.77 | +1.94 |
| — | 1200000.0% | 143 | 69 | 74 | — | — | -1.43 | -0.38 | -0.32 | -1.02 | +0.29 |
| — | 3000000.0% | 143 | 73 | 70 | — | — | -1.43 | -1.11 | -0.56 | +2.02 | -1.77 |
| — | 65217.0% | 143 | 73 | 70 | — | — | -1.43 | +0.45 | +0.32 | -0.25 | -1.95 |
| — | 9772.0% | 143 | 73 | 70 | — | — | -1.43 | +0.13 | -0.35 | -0.71 | -0.50 |
| — | 32967.0% | 143 | 72 | 71 | — | — | -1.43 | +0.59 | -0.96 | +0.07 | -1.12 |
| — | 56075.0% | 143 | 73 | 70 | — | — | -1.43 | +0.36 | +0.29 | -0.39 | -1.68 |
| — | 89552.0% | 143 | 74 | 69 | — | — | -1.43 | +0.32 | -1.08 | +0.13 | -0.79 |
| — | 8230.0% | 143 | 71 | 72 | — | — | -1.43 | -1.07 | +0.14 | -0.30 | -0.19 |
| — | 37500.0% | 144 | 71 | 73 | — | — | -1.93 | +0.38 | -1.40 | -1.88 | +0.97 |
| — | 46512.0% | 144 | 71 | 73 | — | — | -1.93 | +1.29 | -0.74 | -0.16 | -2.31 |
| — | 214286.0% | 144 | 73 | 71 | — | — | -1.93 | -0.89 | -1.15 | +0.10 | +0.02 |
| — | 222222.0% | 144 | 74 | 70 | — | — | -1.93 | +0.18 | -0.65 | -1.20 | -0.26 |
| — | 23346.0% | 144 | 73 | 71 | — | — | -1.93 | +0.05 | -0.81 | -0.51 | -0.66 |
| — | 56075.0% | 145 | 74 | 71 | — | — | -2.43 | -0.59 | -0.91 | -0.71 | -0.22 |
| — | 222222.0% | 145 | 71 | 74 | — | — | -2.43 | -0.89 | +0.06 | +0.01 | -1.60 |
| — | 75949.0% | 145 | 70 | 75 | — | — | -2.43 | -0.67 | +0.58 | -0.18 | -2.16 |
| — | 120000.0% | 145 | 76 | 69 | — | — | -2.43 | -0.73 | -0.11 | -2.21 | +0.63 |
| — | 16575.0% | 145 | 76 | 69 | — | — | -2.43 | +0.72 | -2.47 | -1.19 | +0.52 |
| — | 77922.0% | 145 | 72 | 73 | — | — | -2.43 | -0.87 | -0.72 | -0.11 | -0.72 |
| — | 122449.0% | 145 | 75 | 70 | — | — | -2.43 | +1.22 | -1.10 | +0.30 | -2.84 |
| — | 76923.0% | 146 | 73 | 73 | — | — | -2.93 | -0.80 | -0.58 | -0.29 | -1.25 |
| — | 16713.0% | 146 | 73 | 73 | — | — | -2.93 | -2.05 | +0.51 | -0.59 | -0.80 |
| — | 260870.0% | 146 | 71 | 75 | — | — | -2.93 | +0.14 | -1.31 | -0.20 | -1.55 |
| — | 38462.0% | 146 | 73 | 73 | — | — | -2.93 | -0.59 | -0.99 | +0.22 | -1.56 |
| — | 14458.0% | 146 | 72 | 74 | — | — | -2.93 | +0.09 | -1.61 | +0.87 | -2.27 |
| — | 57143.0% | 146 | 75 | 71 | — | — | -2.93 | -0.90 | -0.79 | -0.44 | -0.80 |
| — | 56604.0% | 146 | 72 | 74 | — | — | -2.93 | -0.27 | -1.97 | -1.80 | +1.11 |
| — | 109091.0% | 147 | 75 | 72 | — | — | -3.43 | -1.45 | -1.43 | -0.39 | -0.16 |
| — | 1500000.0% | 147 | 74 | 73 | — | — | -3.43 | +0.06 | -2.90 | -0.98 | +0.39 |
| — | 27149.0% | 147 | 74 | 73 | — | — | -3.43 | -0.25 | -1.78 | +0.19 | -1.58 |
| — | 15075.0% | 147 | 76 | 71 | — | — | -3.43 | -0.75 | -1.71 | -0.20 | -0.77 |
| — | 39216.0% | 148 | 77 | 71 | — | — | -3.93 | -3.82 | -0.50 | -0.93 | +1.31 |
| — | 1500000.0% | 149 | 78 | 71 | — | — | -4.43 | -0.38 | -1.91 | -0.51 | -1.62 |
| — | 53097.0% | 151 | 76 | 75 | — | — | -5.43 | -1.39 | -2.58 | -0.30 | -1.15 |
| — | 14851.0% | 151 | 78 | 73 | — | — | -5.43 | -2.11 | -1.11 | -0.04 | -2.17 |
| — | 545455.0% | 153 | 79 | 74 | — | — | -6.43 | -3.47 | -2.72 | -0.09 | -0.15 |
| — | 13793.0% | 260 | 66 | 64 | 65 | 65 | +4.91 | +0.86 | +1.76 | +0.19 | +2.11 |
| — | 18072.0% | 267 | 68 | 66 | 66 | 67 | +3.16 | +1.13 | +0.85 | +0.92 | +0.28 |
| — | 33333.0% | 267 | 69 | 63 | 68 | 67 | +3.16 | +0.74 | +1.22 | +0.87 | +0.34 |
| — | 34091.0% | 268 | 67 | 66 | 69 | 66 | +2.91 | -0.26 | +0.61 | +0.77 | +1.80 |
| — | 17910.0% | 268 | 68 | 65 | 67 | 68 | +2.91 | +0.22 | +1.75 | -0.01 | +0.95 |
| — | 5515.0% | 269 | 68 | 69 | 65 | 67 | +2.66 | +1.15 | +0.46 | -0.02 | +1.07 |
| — | 1951.0% | 269 | 66 | 68 | 70 | 65 | +2.66 | +0.87 | +1.26 | -0.03 | +0.56 |
| — | 2000000.0% | 269 | 68 | 67 | 68 | 66 | +2.66 | -1.02 | +0.39 | +1.07 | +2.23 |
| — | 31746.0% | 270 | 68 | 66 | 70 | 66 | +2.41 | +1.02 | +0.51 | +0.55 | +0.33 |
| — | 7874.0% | 270 | 70 | 68 | 63 | 69 | +2.41 | +0.18 | +0.45 | -0.15 | +1.93 |
| — | 14888.0% | 270 | 65 | 69 | 68 | 68 | +2.41 | +1.26 | -0.17 | +0.44 | +0.88 |
| — | 18634.0% | 271 | 74 | 64 | 66 | 67 | +2.16 | +0.82 | -0.47 | -0.03 | +1.85 |
| — | 6667.0% | 271 | 68 | 67 | 65 | 71 | +2.16 | +1.31 | +0.56 | -0.38 | +0.68 |
| — | 10676.0% | 271 | 70 | 66 | 68 | 67 | +2.16 | +1.11 | -0.29 | +1.67 | -0.33 |
| — | 4819.0% | 272 | 70 | 68 | 68 | 66 | +1.91 | +0.29 | +1.42 | -0.60 | +0.81 |
| — | 11928.0% | 273 | 72 | 64 | 68 | 69 | +1.66 | -0.04 | +0.95 | -0.06 | +0.82 |
| — | 13793.0% | 273 | 64 | 73 | 69 | 67 | +1.66 | -0.49 | +0.63 | +1.09 | +0.43 |
| — | 33520.0% | 273 | 71 | 67 | 68 | 67 | +1.66 | +1.23 | +0.63 | -0.55 | +0.35 |
| — | 7317.0% | 273 | 69 | 67 | 68 | 69 | +1.66 | +0.23 | +0.66 | +0.98 | -0.20 |
| — | 96774.0% | 273 | 73 | 66 | 65 | 69 | +1.66 | -0.25 | +0.72 | +0.61 | +0.57 |
| — | 9105.0% | 274 | 74 | 66 | 67 | 67 | +1.41 | +0.83 | +1.30 | -0.65 | -0.07 |
| — | 13483.0% | 274 | 70 | 67 | 68 | 69 | +1.41 | +0.59 | +0.97 | -0.21 | +0.06 |
| — | 42553.0% | 274 | 70 | 68 | 67 | 69 | +1.41 | +0.19 | +0.24 | +0.28 | +0.71 |
| — | 32609.0% | 274 | 67 | 65 | 73 | 69 | +1.41 | +0.06 | +0.11 | -0.05 | +1.29 |
| — | 392.0% | 275 | 69 | 66 | 68 | 72 | +1.16 | +0.54 | +0.59 | -0.49 | +0.52 |
| +1501 |
| +2001 |
| +1999995.2% |
| T49 |
| loss |
| +2501 | +1501 | +1999993.8% | T6 | loss |
| +3001 | +3001 | +1499996.8% | CUT | loss |
| +1001 | +1001 | +1499990.9% | CUT | loss |
| +1501 | +1501 | +1199993.8% | CUT | loss |
| +1001 | +1001 | +1199990.9% | 77 | loss |
| +1501 | +1501 | +999993.8% | T44 | loss |
| +751 | +751 | +666655.2% | T69 | loss |
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