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PGA · Archived event · 2025

BMW Championship · Caves Valley Golf Club

2025-08-17 · 49 player field · Winner: Berger, Daniel

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GolfIQ · Live storyline

Pre-tournament favorite finished

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highest pre-tournament win prob

Top-10 hit rate

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actual top-10 found in predicted top-10

Predicted field

49

players in pre-tournament archive

Final results

Leaderboard

49 players

FinPlayerPre-win%TotalR1R2R3R4SG TotalOTTAPPARGPUTT
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Berger, DanielBerger, Daniel
13423.0%212716972—-0.34+0.37+0.29-0.63-0.37
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Scheffler, ScottieScheffler, Scottie

Closing-line value

Bet365 close vs. DataGolf model

top 10 by edge

PlayerOpenCloseEdgeFinishResult
Campbell, BrianCampbell, Brian
+401+401+222202.0%47loss
Hoge, TomHoge, Tom
+401+276+117620.4%T33loss
Detry, Thomas
432.0%
265
66
65
67
67
+4.18
+1.33
+1.33
+1.09
+0.44
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MacIntyre, RobertMacIntyre, Robert
7762.0%26762646873+3.68-0.02+1.61+0.19+1.89
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McNealy, MaverickMcNealy, Maverick
5495.0%26970646966+3.18-0.43+0.72+0.59+2.30
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Fleetwood, TommyFleetwood, Tommy
2308.0%27065696967+2.93-0.05+1.46+0.61+0.90
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Burns, SamBurns, Sam
5742.0%27068676768+2.93+0.35+0.63-0.05+1.99
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Hall, HarryHall, Harry
8333.0%27268676770+2.43+0.07+0.26+0.82+1.29
—
Aberg, LudvigAberg, Ludvig
2620.0%27368646873+2.18+0.51+0.54+0.10+1.03
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Hovland, ViktorHovland, Viktor
5469.0%27367686969+2.18+0.20+1.68+0.02+0.27
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Fowler, RickieFowler, Rickie
8596.0%27367706769+2.18+0.19+0.31+0.47+1.21
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Kim, MichaelKim, Michael
20979.0%27468667070+1.93-0.01+1.91+0.84-0.81
—
Young, CameronYoung, Cameron
4181.0%27574666570+1.68+0.53-0.37+0.68+0.84
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Griffin, BenGriffin, Ben
5540.0%27767726969+1.18-0.66+1.14+0.16+0.54
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McIlroy, RoryMcIlroy, Rory
1527.0%27770667170+1.18+0.89+0.12-0.72+0.89
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English, HarrisEnglish, Harris
6818.0%27770686772+1.18+0.05-0.37-0.05+1.54
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Henley, RussellHenley, Russell
3569.0%27869686873+0.93-0.07+0.85+0.34-0.19
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Pendrith, TaylorPendrith, Taylor
8929.0%27870687169+0.93+0.11-0.56+0.47+0.90
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Bradley, KeeganBradley, Keegan
5671.0%27972707067+0.68+0.30+0.06+0.45-0.13
—
Fitzpatrick, MattFitzpatrick, Matt
4800.0%27970717068+0.68-0.18+0.55-0.10+0.41
—
Kitayama, KurtKitayama, Kurt
4870.0%28072686971+0.43+0.87-0.25+0.48-0.67
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Bridgeman, JacobBridgeman, Jacob
21583.0%28074666872+0.43-0.14+0.77+0.33-0.54
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Kim, Si WooKim, Si Woo
7853.0%28071697367+0.43+0.36+0.61+0.32-0.87
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Harman, BrianHarman, Brian
11450.0%28073686970+0.43-0.19+0.99+0.61-0.98
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Day, JasonDay, Jason
12270.0%28168716973+0.18+0.81-1.15+0.71-0.18
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Lowry, ShaneLowry, Shane
10033.0%28170697567+0.18-0.18+0.07+0.35-0.07
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Spaun, J.J.Spaun, J.J.
3722.0%28170697270+0.18+0.18+1.23-0.34-0.89
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Bhatia, AkshayBhatia, Akshay
7126.0%28275696672-0.07+0.01+0.56-0.69+0.04
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Matsuyama, HidekiMatsuyama, Hideki
4983.0%28269647673-0.07-0.27-0.15+0.90-0.55
—
McCarthy, DennyMcCarthy, Denny
13575.0%28370697668-0.32-0.53-0.07-0.36+0.63
—
Schauffele, XanderSchauffele, Xander
2286.0%28374707366-0.32+1.30-0.36-0.50-0.76
—
Cantlay, PatrickCantlay, Patrick
3365.0%28472677273-0.57+0.31-0.88-0.79+0.78
—
Rose, JustinRose, Justin
8032.0%28471707172-0.57-1.00+0.72+0.12-0.42
—
Poston, J.T.Poston, J.T.
11278.0%28472717170-0.57-0.24-0.33+0.22-0.23
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Hoge, TomHoge, Tom
117647.0%28672717271-1.07-1.53-0.93+0.45+0.94
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Thomas, JustinThomas, Justin
3346.0%28674706874-1.07-0.10-0.45+0.32-0.84
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Cauley, BudCauley, Bud
19231.0%28669737569-1.07+0.26-0.15-0.52-0.66
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Taylor, NickTaylor, Nick
14218.0%28672687175-1.07-0.49-0.11-0.09-0.39
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Morikawa, CollinMorikawa, Collin
4862.0%28670746775-1.07+0.13+1.32-1.01-1.52
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Gotterup, ChrisGotterup, Chris
4093.0%28673707568-1.07+0.29-0.32-0.70-0.35
—
Conners, CoreyConners, Corey
5505.0%28770716680-1.32-0.17-0.04-0.26-0.85
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Glover, LucasGlover, Lucas
19231.0%29075736973-2.07-0.36-0.29-0.71-0.72
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Im, SungjaeIm, Sungjae
12397.0%29071757767-2.07+0.23-2.70+1.02-0.63
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Stevens, SamStevens, Sam
14670.0%29171777172-2.32-0.05-1.04-0.40-0.84
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Fox, RyanFox, Ryan
21583.0%29274737669-2.57-0.02-1.65-0.21-0.69
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Gerard, RyanGerard, Ryan
12552.0%29475767271-3.07-0.33-0.46-1.21-1.07
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Vegas, JhonattanVegas, Jhonattan
20478.0%29574727772-3.32-0.11-1.37-1.10-0.75
—
Detry, ThomasDetry, Thomas
24590.0%29773747575-3.82-0.70-0.37-1.09-1.66
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Campbell, BrianCampbell, Brian
222222.0%29877717575-4.07-1.42-2.59-0.38+0.32
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Novak, AndrewNovak, Andrew
11472.0%30072767775-4.57-0.30-2.74-0.91-0.62
Detry, Thomas
+151
+141
+24548.5%
46
loss
Bridgeman, JacobBridgeman, Jacob
+126+126+21538.8%T19loss
Fox, RyanFox, Ryan
+111+111+21535.6%43loss
Kim, MichaelKim, Michael
+201+151+20939.2%10loss
Vegas, JhonattanVegas, Jhonattan
+126+126+20433.8%45loss
Cauley, BudCauley, Bud
+126+126+19186.8%T33loss
Glover, LucasGlover, Lucas
+101+101+19181.2%T40loss
Stevens, SamStevens, Sam
+111+111+14622.6%42loss

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