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PGA · Archived event · 2025

FedEx St. Jude Championship · TPC Southwind

2025-08-10 · 69 player field · Winner: Rose, Justin

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GolfIQ · Live storyline

Pre-tournament favorite finished

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highest pre-tournament win prob

Top-10 hit rate

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actual top-10 found in predicted top-10

Predicted field

69

players in pre-tournament archive

Final results

Leaderboard

69 players

FinPlayerPre-win%TotalR1R2R3R4SG TotalOTTAPPARGPUTT
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Rose, JustinRose, Justin
17647.0%26464666767+3.12+0.59+1.42+0.18+0.93
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Spaun, J.J.Spaun, J.J.

Closing-line value

Bet365 close vs. DataGolf model

top 10 by edge

PlayerOpenCloseEdgeFinishResult
Highsmith, JoeHighsmith, Joe
+501+451+85695.9%67loss
Potgieter, AldrichPotgieter, Aldrich
+201+201+84473.8%T59loss
Davis, Cam
6637.0%
264
68
66
65
65
+3.12
+0.74
+1.73
+0.85
-0.20
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Fleetwood, TommyFleetwood, Tommy
3061.0%26563646969+2.87+0.73+1.13-0.27+1.29
—
Scheffler, ScottieScheffler, Scottie
554.0%26567666567+2.87+1.00+1.22-0.18+0.84
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Young, CameronYoung, Cameron
7916.0%26969657164+1.87+1.62+0.81-0.91+0.35
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Fowler, RickieFowler, Rickie
10221.0%27066696669+1.62+0.93+1.18-0.24-0.24
—
Novak, AndrewNovak, Andrew
13274.0%27068646771+1.62-0.40+0.38+1.07+0.57
—
Bhatia, AkshayBhatia, Akshay
8119.0%27062697069+1.62+0.63+1.06+0.49-0.55
—
Griffin, BenGriffin, Ben
5146.0%27166696670+1.37-0.18+0.37+0.63+0.55
—
Kitayama, KurtKitayama, Kurt
7203.0%27169637267+1.37+0.46+0.58+0.01+0.32
—
Cantlay, PatrickCantlay, Patrick
4975.0%27170676668+1.37+0.09+1.51-0.46+0.23
—
Kirk, ChrisKirk, Chris
14493.0%27168676670+1.37+0.13+0.36+0.22+0.66
—
Aberg, LudvigAberg, Ludvig
4854.0%27167677067+1.37+0.76+0.26+0.20+0.15
—
Kim, Si WooKim, Si Woo
9346.0%27265696969+1.12+0.59+2.03-0.11-1.40
—
Cauley, BudCauley, Bud
22059.0%27264697069+1.12-0.24+1.08-0.14+0.42
—
Vegas, JhonattanVegas, Jhonattan
27650.0%27269696668+1.12+0.32+1.25-0.28-0.17
—
Bridgeman, JacobBridgeman, Jacob
21739.0%27369647169+0.87+0.21-0.60+0.67+0.60
—
Matsuyama, HidekiMatsuyama, Hideki
3822.0%27369706965+0.87-0.20+1.36-0.12-0.17
—
Im, SungjaeIm, Sungjae
12766.0%27371647167+0.87+0.38-0.18+0.06+0.62
—
Henley, RussellHenley, Russell
2997.0%27366707166+0.87+0.41+0.16+0.46-0.15
—
Straka, SeppStraka, Sepp
5703.0%27368676870+0.87+0.96-0.49-0.32+0.73
—
Rai, AaronRai, Aaron
3044.0%27470696867+0.62-0.08+1.50+0.27-1.07
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Schauffele, XanderSchauffele, Xander
2821.0%27468726569+0.62-0.11+0.38+0.40-0.04
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Hall, HarryHall, Harry
8463.0%27464726969+0.62-0.45-0.59+0.49+1.17
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Morikawa, CollinMorikawa, Collin
4521.0%27466657271+0.62+0.19+1.46-0.19-0.84
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Harman, BrianHarman, Brian
10239.0%27467687267+0.62+0.04-0.40+0.55+0.44
—
Poston, J.T.Poston, J.T.
6623.0%27470696768+0.62+0.00+0.11+0.39+0.12
—
Thomas, JustinThomas, Justin
4313.0%27568727065+0.37+0.32+0.06+0.02-0.03
—
Burns, SamBurns, Sam
5803.0%27570716668+0.37-0.83+0.32-0.47+1.36
—
McNealy, MaverickMcNealy, Maverick
6085.0%27566667469+0.37+0.02+0.08-0.16+0.44
—
Pendrith, TaylorPendrith, Taylor
13129.0%27569696572+0.37+0.34-0.82+0.13+0.72
—
Fitzpatrick, MattFitzpatrick, Matt
2667.0%27667716969+0.12-1.27-0.19+0.62+0.97
—
Greyserman, MaxGreyserman, Max
15831.0%27670696968+0.12+0.35-0.57+0.08+0.26
—
Yu, KevinYu, Kevin
14252.0%27671676969+0.12+0.53-0.16+0.57-0.81
—
McCarthy, DennyMcCarthy, Denny
9036.0%27670677267+0.12-0.83+0.59-0.71+1.08
—
Hovland, ViktorHovland, Viktor
6018.0%27674686767+0.12-0.25+0.61-0.26+0.02
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Riley, DavisRiley, Davis
68182.0%27672677067+0.12-0.76-0.61+1.28+0.21
—
Schmid, MattiSchmid, Matti
29557.0%27771666971-0.13-1.23+1.66-0.72+0.16
—
MacIntyre, RobertMacIntyre, Robert
5900.0%27767706872-0.13-0.09-1.55+0.43+1.08
—
Detry, ThomasDetry, Thomas
20548.0%27767696873-0.13-0.55-0.07+0.21+0.28
—
Rodgers, PatrickRodgers, Patrick
30928.0%27771687068-0.13-0.00+0.48+0.08-0.68
—
Echavarria, NicoEchavarria, Nico
19293.0%27772706966-0.13-1.00-0.77+0.85+0.78
—
Spieth, JordanSpieth, Jordan
5988.0%27769707068-0.13+0.62-0.06-0.57-0.11
—
Gerard, RyanGerard, Ryan
11650.0%27870697366-0.38-0.86+0.36+0.55-0.44
—
Taylor, NickTaylor, Nick
9317.0%27867717268-0.38-0.61-0.41+0.50+0.15
—
Bradley, KeeganBradley, Keegan
5703.0%27872706967-0.38+0.68-0.41-0.15-0.50
—
Glover, LucasGlover, Lucas
10187.0%27870666973-0.38-0.34+0.70+0.55-1.29
—
English, HarrisEnglish, Harris
5277.0%27970686972-0.63+0.55-0.71-0.13-0.34
—
Jaeger, StephanJaeger, Stephan
58824.0%27972696969-0.63-0.10-0.84+0.27+0.04
—
Conners, CoreyConners, Corey
4101.0%28071687071-0.88-0.75+1.44-0.81-0.76
—
Davis, CamDavis, Cam
69767.0%28069726772-0.88+0.33-0.66-0.65+0.11
—
Fox, RyanFox, Ryan
21978.0%28072716869-0.88-0.80-0.22-0.06+0.20
—
Grillo, EmilianoGrillo, Emiliano
18293.0%28069697171-0.88+0.44-1.56-0.48+0.73
—
Stevens, SamStevens, Sam
11788.0%28171706971-1.13+0.23-1.55-0.16+0.35
—
Gotterup, ChrisGotterup, Chris
6067.0%28172737066-1.13+0.47-1.02-0.16-0.42
—
Day, JasonDay, Jason
10453.0%28271687172-1.38+0.48-0.83-1.13+0.11
—
Hughes, MackenzieHughes, Mackenzie
25862.0%28271697072-1.38-0.80-1.40+0.28+0.54
—
Clark, WyndhamClark, Wyndham
10084.0%28267687275-1.38+0.08-1.03+0.05-0.48
—
Kim, MichaelKim, Michael
14252.0%28372727267-1.63+0.26-0.93-0.74-0.21
—
Lowry, ShaneLowry, Shane
7566.0%28373687171-1.63-0.24-0.40-0.05-0.93
—
Potgieter, AldrichPotgieter, Aldrich
84507.0%28371727367-1.63-0.07-0.74-0.36-0.45
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Knapp, JakeKnapp, Jake
9231.0%28572707073-2.13+0.63-1.49-0.46-0.80
—
van Rooyen, Erikvan Rooyen, Erik
35503.0%28574697171-2.13+0.69-1.15-0.20-1.47
—
Hoge, TomHoge, Tom
53571.0%28673746772-2.38-1.41-1.33+0.36+0.01
—
Campbell, BrianCampbell, Brian
57143.0%28669717175-2.38-0.87+0.30-0.40-1.41
—
Finau, TonyFinau, Tony
36810.0%28669687376-2.38-0.62-1.62+0.39-0.52
—
Highsmith, JoeHighsmith, Joe
85714.0%28869746976-2.88-1.13-0.43-0.14-1.17
—
Berger, DanielBerger, Daniel
6920.0%29068757275-3.38+0.25-0.55-1.87-1.21
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Lee, Min WooLee, Min Woo
23715.0%29076727270-3.38-0.94-1.61-0.11-0.72
Davis, Cam
+451
+451
+69748.9%
T50
loss
Riley, DavisRiley, Davis
+451+451+68163.9%T32loss
Jaeger, StephanJaeger, Stephan
+251+251+58795.5%T48loss
Campbell, BrianCampbell, Brian
+301+301+57118.1%T64loss
Hoge, TomHoge, Tom
+401+451+53552.9%T64loss
Finau, TonyFinau, Tony
+151+141+36768.5%T64loss
Van Rooyen, ErikVan Rooyen, Erik
+251+251+35474.5%T62loss
Rodgers, PatrickRodgers, Patrick
+251+226+30897.3%T38loss

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