PGA · Archived event · 2025
2025-05-04 · 156 player field · Winner: Wallace, Matt
GolfIQ · Live storyline
Pre-tournament favorite finished
—
highest pre-tournament win prob
Top-10 hit rate
—
actual top-10 found in predicted top-10
Predicted field
156
players in pre-tournament archive
Final results
156 players
| Fin | Player | Pre-win% | Total | R1 | R2 | R3 | R4 | SG Total | OTT | APP | ARG | PUTT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | 9375.0% | 72 | 72 | — | — | — | -3.29 | -0.31 | -1.34 | +0.35 | -1.99 | |
| — |
Closing-line value
top 10 by edge
| Player | Open | Close | Edge | Finish | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +5001 | +5001 | +5999998.0% | 64 | loss | |
| +2501 | +2501 | +5999996.2% | CUT | loss | |
| 9983.0% |
| 138 |
| 70 |
| 68 |
| — |
| — |
| +0.29 |
| -0.52 |
| +2.51 |
| -0.75 |
| -0.95 |
| — | 125000.0% | 138 | 70 | 68 | — | — | +0.29 | -0.35 | +1.36 | -0.83 | +0.12 |
| — | 69767.0% | 138 | 66 | 72 | — | — | +0.29 | -1.02 | -0.63 | +0.45 | +1.49 |
| — | 181818.0% | 138 | 70 | 68 | — | — | +0.29 | +0.67 | +0.78 | -0.41 | -0.75 |
| — | 14634.0% | 138 | 70 | 68 | — | — | +0.29 | +1.00 | +0.73 | +0.10 | -1.54 |
| — | 214286.0% | 138 | 69 | 69 | — | — | +0.29 | +1.22 | +0.84 | -0.73 | -1.04 |
| — | 5231.0% | 138 | 67 | 71 | — | — | +0.29 | +0.72 | +0.99 | -0.27 | -1.14 |
| — | 5017.0% | 138 | 69 | 69 | — | — | +0.29 | -0.66 | +1.06 | -0.49 | +0.38 |
| — | 130435.0% | 138 | 72 | 66 | — | — | +0.29 | -0.24 | -0.31 | +0.32 | +0.52 |
| — | 31746.0% | 138 | 68 | 70 | — | — | +0.29 | -0.47 | -0.90 | +1.62 | +0.04 |
| — | 52632.0% | 138 | 67 | 71 | — | — | +0.29 | +0.33 | -0.93 | +0.44 | +0.45 |
| — | 250000.0% | 138 | 66 | 72 | — | — | +0.29 | +0.24 | +0.32 | +0.19 | -0.45 |
| — | 7905.0% | 138 | 67 | 71 | — | — | +0.29 | +0.76 | -0.75 | +1.10 | -0.81 |
| — | 8982.0% | 138 | 72 | 66 | — | — | +0.29 | +0.74 | -0.45 | -0.67 | +0.67 |
| — | 13363.0% | 138 | 67 | 71 | — | — | +0.29 | +0.13 | -0.38 | -1.34 | +1.90 |
| — | 5190.0% | 138 | 65 | 73 | — | — | +0.29 | -0.05 | -0.51 | -0.12 | +0.97 |
| — | 545455.0% | 138 | 69 | 69 | — | — | +0.29 | -1.39 | -0.00 | -0.01 | +1.70 |
| — | 666667.0% | 138 | 69 | 69 | — | — | +0.29 | +0.26 | -0.07 | -0.44 | +0.54 |
| — | 13043.0% | 138 | 68 | 70 | — | — | +0.29 | +0.62 | -1.09 | +0.38 | +0.38 |
| — | 857143.0% | 139 | 71 | 68 | — | — | -0.21 | +0.29 | -1.92 | -0.50 | +1.92 |
| — | 28708.0% | 139 | 68 | 71 | — | — | -0.21 | +0.08 | +0.80 | +0.23 | -1.32 |
| — | 92308.0% | 139 | 70 | 69 | — | — | -0.21 | +1.15 | -0.55 | -0.38 | -0.42 |
| — | 9585.0% | 139 | 68 | 71 | — | — | -0.21 | +0.53 | -0.18 | +0.40 | -0.95 |
| — | 333333.0% | 139 | 66 | 73 | — | — | -0.21 | -1.13 | -0.46 | +1.44 | -0.06 |
| — | 8837.0% | 139 | 69 | 70 | — | — | -0.21 | -0.24 | +0.60 | -0.30 | -0.28 |
| — | 24000.0% | 139 | 71 | 68 | — | — | -0.21 | -0.95 | +1.56 | +0.72 | -1.53 |
| — | 18237.0% | 139 | 67 | 72 | — | — | -0.21 | -0.69 | +1.19 | +0.20 | -0.90 |
| — | 18127.0% | 139 | 67 | 72 | — | — | -0.21 | -0.46 | +0.50 | -0.05 | -0.20 |
| — | 55556.0% | 139 | 67 | 72 | — | — | -0.21 | +0.38 | +0.01 | -0.55 | -0.04 |
| — | 35714.0% | 139 | 70 | 69 | — | — | -0.21 | +0.05 | -0.93 | +0.04 | +0.64 |
| — | 10850.0% | 140 | 70 | 70 | — | — | -0.71 | +0.78 | +0.72 | -1.27 | -0.94 |
| — | 2000000.0% | 140 | 68 | 72 | — | — | -0.71 | +0.18 | +0.97 | -0.52 | -1.34 |
| — | 31915.0% | 140 | 69 | 71 | — | — | -0.71 | +0.69 | -0.60 | -1.07 | +0.28 |
| — | 100000.0% | 140 | 67 | 73 | — | — | -0.71 | -0.22 | -0.54 | +0.08 | -0.03 |
| — | 2000000.0% | 140 | 73 | 67 | — | — | -0.71 | -1.48 | +1.51 | -0.46 | -0.28 |
| — | 23904.0% | 140 | 71 | 69 | — | — | -0.71 | +0.77 | -2.00 | -0.31 | +0.84 |
| — | 206897.0% | 140 | 68 | 72 | — | — | -0.71 | -1.52 | +0.76 | +0.22 | -0.16 |
| — | 127660.0% | 140 | 69 | 71 | — | — | -0.71 | -0.33 | -0.64 | +1.17 | -0.91 |
| — | 27778.0% | 140 | 69 | 71 | — | — | -0.71 | +0.38 | -1.43 | -0.07 | +0.41 |
| — | 130435.0% | 140 | 70 | 70 | — | — | -0.71 | +0.54 | -0.42 | +0.28 | -1.11 |
| — | 24096.0% | 140 | 69 | 71 | — | — | -0.71 | +0.15 | -0.22 | +0.84 | -1.48 |
| — | 18293.0% | 141 | 72 | 69 | — | — | -1.21 | +0.56 | +0.10 | -0.98 | -0.89 |
| — | 333333.0% | 141 | 72 | 69 | — | — | -1.21 | -0.02 | -0.81 | +0.16 | -0.54 |
| — | 4662.0% | 141 | 71 | 70 | — | — | -1.21 | -0.35 | +0.46 | -0.43 | -0.88 |
| — | 24691.0% | 141 | 70 | 71 | — | — | -1.21 | -1.76 | +0.82 | +0.42 | -0.69 |
| — | 29268.0% | 141 | 66 | 75 | — | — | -1.21 | +0.17 | -2.17 | -0.38 | +1.18 |
| — | 109091.0% | 141 | 71 | 70 | — | — | -1.21 | -1.06 | -0.70 | +0.90 | -0.34 |
| — | 21661.0% | 141 | 73 | 68 | — | — | -1.21 | -0.67 | +0.73 | -0.53 | -0.73 |
| — | 56604.0% | 141 | 71 | 70 | — | — | -1.21 | -0.39 | +0.05 | +0.26 | -1.13 |
| — | 13363.0% | 141 | 68 | 73 | — | — | -1.21 | +0.43 | -1.88 | +1.27 | -1.02 |
| — | 545455.0% | 142 | 71 | 71 | — | — | -1.71 | +0.29 | +0.11 | -0.95 | -1.16 |
| — | 53097.0% | 142 | 71 | 71 | — | — | -1.71 | +0.58 | -1.68 | -0.19 | -0.41 |
| — | 1000000.0% | 142 | 76 | 66 | — | — | -1.71 | +0.30 | -2.83 | +0.17 | +0.66 |
| — | 7282.0% | 142 | 73 | 69 | — | — | -1.71 | -0.04 | -1.36 | +0.81 | -1.11 |
| — | 82192.0% | 142 | 69 | 73 | — | — | -1.71 | +1.11 | -1.04 | -0.95 | -0.82 |
| — | 93750.0% | 142 | 70 | 72 | — | — | -1.71 | +0.83 | -1.10 | -0.46 | -0.97 |
| — | 17699.0% | 142 | 72 | 70 | — | — | -1.71 | -2.01 | -0.07 | -0.07 | +0.45 |
| — | 206897.0% | 142 | 72 | 70 | — | — | -1.71 | -0.03 | -2.13 | +0.42 | +0.03 |
| — | 16997.0% | 143 | 70 | 73 | — | — | -2.21 | -0.75 | -0.40 | -0.76 | -0.29 |
| — | 300000.0% | 143 | 73 | 70 | — | — | -2.21 | +0.67 | -1.38 | -0.35 | -1.15 |
| — | 50420.0% | 143 | 71 | 72 | — | — | -2.21 | -1.70 | +0.69 | -0.64 | -0.55 |
| — | 115385.0% | 143 | 73 | 70 | — | — | -2.21 | -1.36 | -0.84 | -0.12 | +0.12 |
| — | 18809.0% | 143 | 73 | 70 | — | — | -2.21 | -0.75 | -0.11 | -0.88 | -0.47 |
| — | 1000000.0% | 144 | 72 | 72 | — | — | -2.71 | -0.94 | -0.69 | +0.39 | -1.47 |
| — | 6000000.0% | 144 | 70 | 74 | — | — | -2.71 | -1.28 | -2.23 | +0.54 | +0.26 |
| — | 68182.0% | 144 | 69 | 75 | — | — | -2.71 | -0.98 | -0.15 | +0.07 | -1.65 |
| — | 136364.0% | 144 | 74 | 70 | — | — | -2.71 | -1.42 | +0.77 | +0.13 | -2.19 |
| — | 35928.0% | 144 | 68 | 76 | — | — | -2.71 | -0.53 | -0.64 | -0.61 | -0.93 |
| — | 41958.0% | 145 | 72 | 73 | — | — | -3.21 | -1.07 | +0.21 | -0.53 | -1.81 |
| — | 8392.0% | 145 | 72 | 73 | — | — | -3.21 | -2.00 | -0.85 | +0.43 | -0.79 |
| — | 5141.0% | 145 | 74 | 71 | — | — | -3.21 | -0.16 | -1.55 | +0.68 | -2.18 |
| — | 75000.0% | 145 | 68 | 77 | — | — | -3.21 | -1.74 | -0.51 | -0.21 | -0.75 |
| — | 117647.0% | 145 | 71 | 74 | — | — | -3.21 | -0.95 | +1.61 | -0.69 | -3.17 |
| — | 35714.0% | 145 | 71 | 74 | — | — | -3.21 | -0.96 | -0.45 | -0.19 | -1.61 |
| — | 166667.0% | 145 | 71 | 74 | — | — | -3.21 | -1.08 | -0.69 | -0.09 | -1.35 |
| — | 146341.0% | 145 | 70 | 75 | — | — | -3.21 | -0.35 | -0.97 | -0.97 | -0.92 |
| — | 6000000.0% | 146 | 74 | 72 | — | — | -3.71 | -0.17 | -0.90 | -1.33 | -1.30 |
| — | 46512.0% | 147 | 76 | 71 | — | — | -4.21 | -0.13 | -2.46 | -1.38 | -0.24 |
| — | 200000.0% | 147 | 76 | 71 | — | — | -4.21 | -1.48 | -1.08 | -0.29 | -1.35 |
| +1501 |
| +1501 |
| +5999993.8% |
| CUT |
| loss |
| +3001 | +751 | +5999988.2% | CUT | loss |
| +2501 | +2501 | +1999996.2% | CUT | loss |
| +2501 | +1001 | +1999990.9% | CUT | loss |
| +2501 | +2501 | +999996.2% | CUT | loss |
| +2501 | +1001 | +999990.9% | CUT | loss |
| +751 | +751 | +857131.2% | CUT | loss |
| +1501 | +2001 | +666662.2% | CUT | loss |
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