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PGA · Archived event · 2025

Masters Tournament · Augusta National Golf Club

2025-04-13 · 95 player field · Winner: Henley, Russell

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GolfIQ · Live storyline

Pre-tournament favorite finished

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highest pre-tournament win prob

Top-10 hit rate

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actual top-10 found in predicted top-10

Predicted field

95

players in pre-tournament archive

Final results

Leaderboard

95 players

FinPlayerPre-win%TotalR1R2R3R4SG TotalOTTAPPARGPUTT
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Henley, RussellHenley, Russell
4580.0%1477968——-0.37+0.22+0.65-0.37-0.87
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Bradley, KeeganBradley, Keegan

Closing-line value

Bet365 close vs. DataGolf model

top 10 by edge

PlayerOpenCloseEdgeFinishResult
Couples, FredCouples, Fred
+3001+3001+2999996.8%CUTloss
Langer, BernhardLanger, Bernhard
+1501+2001+2999995.2%CUTloss
Cabrera, Angel
9934.0%
147
74
73
—
—
-0.37
+0.32
-0.36
+0.47
-0.80
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Langer, BernhardLanger, Bernhard
3000000.0%1477473——-0.37-1.12-1.13+0.57+1.31
—
Johnson, DustinJohnson, Dustin
26786.0%1477473——-0.37+0.33-0.08-0.37-0.25
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Kirk, ChrisKirk, Chris
56075.0%1477572——-0.37+0.21-1.37-0.13+0.92
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Finau, TonyFinau, Tony
11952.0%1487573——-0.87+0.58+0.83+0.06-2.33
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Campos, RafaelCampos, Rafael
857143.0%1487573——-0.87+0.49-1.84-0.37+0.84
—
Highsmith, JoeHighsmith, Joe
28169.0%1487672——-0.87+0.90-0.74-0.90-0.12
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Weir, MikeWeir, Mike
—1487573——-0.87-1.73+1.30+0.46-0.90
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Hastings, JustinHastings, Justin
—1487672——-0.87-1.14-0.04+0.43-0.11
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Couples, FredCouples, Fred
3000000.0%1487177——-0.87-0.95-0.26+0.79-0.46
—
Garcia, SergioGarcia, Sergio
6501.0%1487276——-0.87+1.02+0.93-0.25-2.57
—
Schenk, AdamSchenk, Adam
136364.0%1487375——-0.87-0.50+0.69-1.31+0.26
—
Mickelson, PhilMickelson, Phil
28571.0%1497574——-1.37-0.98-1.81+0.07+1.35
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Straka, SeppStraka, Sepp
11450.0%1497871——-1.37-1.15+1.69-1.11-0.80
—
Smith, CameronSmith, Cameron
8863.0%1497178——-1.37-1.42-2.26+0.39+1.92
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Koepka, BrooksKoepka, Brooks
5469.0%1497475——-1.37+0.56+1.65-1.84-1.75
—
Scott, AdamScott, Adam
20833.0%1497772——-1.37-0.18+0.48-0.32-1.35
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Horschel, BillyHorschel, Billy
23715.0%1497772——-1.37-0.59+1.57-1.31-1.04
—
Eckroat, AustinEckroat, Austin
45802.0%1507674——-1.87-0.38+0.06-1.89+0.34
—
Vegas, JhonattanVegas, Jhonattan
86957.0%1507575——-1.87+0.51+0.34+0.06-2.78
—
Yu, KevinYu, Kevin
28436.0%1507674——-1.87+0.74-2.08-0.03-0.50
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Tai, HiroshiTai, Hiroshi
—1507377——-1.87+0.55-1.94-0.10-0.38
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NHHojgaard, Nicolai
37736.0%1507674——-1.87+0.63-0.18-1.14-1.17
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MacIntyre, RobertMacIntyre, Robert
6154.0%1507575——-1.87+0.55-1.91+1.44-1.95
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Young, CameronYoung, Cameron
27149.0%1517279——-2.37+0.82-0.58-0.71-1.90
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Bezuidenhout, ChristiaanBezuidenhout, Christiaan
50847.0%1517675——-2.37-1.23-0.99+0.82-0.97
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Olazabal, Jose MariaOlazabal, Jose Maria
—1517774——-2.37-2.36-1.62+0.55+1.06
—
Glover, LucasGlover, Lucas
20548.0%1527874——-2.87-0.82+0.54-1.46-1.13
—
Pendrith, TaylorPendrith, Taylor
12526.0%1527775——-2.87+0.51-0.64-1.57-1.18
—
Zalatoris, WillZalatoris, Will
8333.0%1527478——-2.87+0.52-1.18-0.51-1.70
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Kizzire, PattonKizzire, Patton
240000.0%1527973——-2.87-1.40-1.38+0.24-0.33
—
Beck, EvanBeck, Evan
1000000.0%1537776——-3.37+0.05-2.71+0.87-1.57
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Davis, CamDavis, Cam
40541.0%1537479——-3.37+0.40-3.16-1.58+0.97
—
Detry, ThomasDetry, Thomas
22989.0%1537974——-3.37+1.50-2.34-1.65-0.88
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JBBallester Barrio, Jose Luis
600000.0%1547678——-3.87+0.66+0.04-1.45-3.11
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Pavon, MatthieuPavon, Matthieu
162162.0%1547876——-3.87-0.63-1.90-0.96-0.38
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Canter, LaurieCanter, Laurie
30303.0%1547777——-3.87-0.43-2.28-1.08-0.08
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Cabrera, AngelCabrera, Angel
1200000.0%1557580——-4.37+0.40-3.01-0.22-1.54
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Lawrence, ThristonLawrence, Thriston
193548.0%1557976——-4.37+0.16-0.65-2.75-1.14
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Kent, NoahKent, Noah
—1557976——-4.37+0.74-2.84-0.43-1.83
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Dunlap, NickDunlap, Nick
240000.0%1619071——-7.37-4.46-1.47-1.68+0.24
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McIlroy, RoryMcIlroy, Rory
1153.0%27772666673+3.43+0.67+2.31+0.77-0.31
—
Rose, JustinRose, Justin
10399.0%27765717566+3.43+0.24+1.76+0.35+1.08
—
Reed, PatrickReed, Patrick
7742.0%27971706969+2.93+0.61+0.99+0.93+0.39
—
Scheffler, ScottieScheffler, Scottie
885.0%28068717269+2.68-0.11+0.63+1.12+1.04
—
Im, SungjaeIm, Sungjae
13245.0%28171707169+2.43+0.35-0.06+1.46+0.68
—
DeChambeau, BrysonDeChambeau, Bryson
2272.0%28169686975+2.43+1.10-0.89+1.63+0.60
—
Aberg, LudvigAberg, Ludvig
4428.0%28268736972+2.18+0.66+0.08+0.55+0.90
—
Conners, CoreyConners, Corey
4699.0%28368707075+1.93+0.34+1.34+0.10+0.15
—
Day, JasonDay, Jason
8021.0%28370707172+1.93-0.39+0.26+1.54+0.52
—
Schauffele, XanderSchauffele, Xander
4732.0%28373697071+1.93+0.75+0.84+0.13+0.21
—
Johnson, ZachJohnson, Zach
89552.0%28372746671+1.93-0.06+0.33+0.58+1.08
—
Homa, MaxHoma, Max
93750.0%28474706971+1.68-0.40+0.99-0.24+1.33
—
English, HarrisEnglish, Harris
23166.0%28470737368+1.68-0.60+1.28+0.29+0.71
—
McCarty, MattMcCarty, Matt
68966.0%28571687571+1.43-0.21+0.76+0.20+0.68
—
Hatton, TyrrellHatton, Tyrrell
9331.0%28569707571+1.43+1.14+0.52+0.54-0.78
—
Morikawa, CollinMorikawa, Collin
2046.0%28572697272+1.43+0.56+1.35-0.30-0.18
—
Rahm, JonRahm, Jon
1540.0%28575717069+1.43+0.42-0.37+0.58+0.81
—
Watson, BubbaWatson, Bubba
162162.0%28571727468+1.43+0.10-0.57-0.43+2.33
—
Hoge, TomHoge, Tom
34884.0%28572727071+1.43+0.01+1.73-1.00+0.70
—
Spieth, JordanSpieth, Jordan
6431.0%28573736970+1.43+0.89-1.33+0.51+1.35
—
Matsuyama, HidekiMatsuyama, Hideki
3163.0%28673687966+1.18-0.01+1.90+0.30-1.02
—
Berger, DanielBerger, Daniel
12295.0%28671737369+1.18+0.34+0.90-0.13+0.07
—
Riley, DavisRiley, Davis
133333.0%28673697569+1.18-0.50+1.50-0.17+0.35
—
Hovland, ViktorHovland, Viktor
9631.0%28671697373+1.18-0.43+0.99-0.04+0.67
—
An, Byeong HunAn, Byeong Hun
17595.0%28674717071+1.18+0.41+0.23+0.82-0.28
—
Fleetwood, TommyFleetwood, Tommy
4902.0%28673697569+1.18+0.68+0.20+1.52-1.21
—
Kim, MichaelKim, Michael
16529.0%28771717471+0.93-0.24+0.39-0.03+0.81
—
Rai, AaronRai, Aaron
16760.0%28770747370+0.93+0.21+0.20+0.58-0.06
—
McCarthy, DennyMcCarthy, Denny
11173.0%28871757171+0.68+0.04-0.01-0.06+0.72
—
Niemann, JoaquinNiemann, Joaquin
3904.0%28872747072+0.68+0.50+0.60+0.23-0.65
—
Theegala, SahithTheegala, Sahith
25532.0%28872727371+0.68+0.04+1.13-0.85+0.36
—
Greyserman, MaxGreyserman, Max
44444.0%28971756974+0.43-0.15-0.73+0.11+1.20
—
McNealy, MaverickMcNealy, Maverick
14563.0%28972737173+0.43+0.54-0.07+0.92-0.96
—
Campbell, BrianCampbell, Brian
133333.0%28972737668+0.43-0.76+1.31-0.80+0.68
—
RHHojgaard, Rasmus
39216.0%28973677574+0.43+0.55-0.09-0.32+0.29
—
Cantlay, PatrickCantlay, Patrick
3317.0%29074727371+0.18+0.84+0.25-1.49+0.58
—
Thomas, JustinThomas, Justin
3140.0%29073717670+0.18-0.69-0.28+0.87+0.28
—
Schwartzel, CharlSchwartzel, Charl
17291.0%29074727272+0.18+0.01+0.12-0.05+0.10
Cabrera, Angel
+2001
+1001
+1199990.9%
CUT
loss
Beck, EvanBeck, Evan
+1501+751+999988.2%CUTloss
Campos, RafaelCampos, Rafael
+2001+2001+857138.2%CUTloss
JBBallester Barrio, Jose Luis
+1001+751+599988.2%CUTloss
Kizzire, PattonKizzire, Patton
+751+751+239988.2%CUTloss
Dunlap, NickDunlap, Nick
+301+351+239977.8%CUTloss
Lawrence, ThristonLawrence, Thriston
+601+751+193536.2%CUTloss
Pavon, MatthieuPavon, Matthieu
+401+501+162145.4%CUTloss

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