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PGA · Archived event · 2025

Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard · Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge

2025-03-09 · 72 player field · Winner: Detry, Thomas

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GolfIQ · Live storyline

Pre-tournament favorite finished

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highest pre-tournament win prob

Top-10 hit rate

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actual top-10 found in predicted top-10

Predicted field

72

players in pre-tournament archive

Final results

Leaderboard

72 players

FinPlayerPre-win%TotalR1R2R3R4SG TotalOTTAPPARGPUTT
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Detry, ThomasDetry, Thomas
12793.0%1497574——-1.21+0.58-0.57+0.19-1.41
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Hovland, ViktorHovland, Viktor

Closing-line value

Bet365 close vs. DataGolf model

top 10 by edge

PlayerOpenCloseEdgeFinishResult
Campos, RafaelCampos, Rafael
+2001+1501+545448.8%CUTloss
Koivun, JacksonKoivun, Jackson
+351+151+260830.2%T48loss
Potgieter, Aldrich
9524.0%
149
77
72
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—
-1.21
-0.01
+2.14
-0.30
-3.03
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Highsmith, JoeHighsmith, Joe
11765.0%1497574——-1.21-0.64-0.57-0.53+0.52
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English, HarrisEnglish, Harris
18927.0%1507674——-1.71+0.64+0.80-0.08-3.08
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Thompson, DavisThompson, Davis
7566.0%1507773——-1.71-0.74+0.23+0.98-2.17
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Davis, CamDavis, Cam
20202.0%1507080——-1.71-0.90-1.19-1.01+1.39
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Theegala, SahithTheegala, Sahith
16620.0%1507872——-1.71-0.16-1.90+1.05-0.69
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Jaeger, StephanJaeger, Stephan
15190.0%1507872——-1.71-0.93-1.50-0.63+1.35
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Lee, Min WooLee, Min Woo
9077.0%1517873——-2.21-1.05-3.65+1.60+0.89
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Homa, MaxHoma, Max
43165.0%1518170——-2.21+1.00-1.86-0.23-1.13
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Bhatia, AkshayBhatia, Akshay
9820.0%1527973——-2.71-0.85-1.81+0.45-0.50
—
Pendrith, TaylorPendrith, Taylor
5988.0%1527973——-2.71+0.56+1.28-2.06-2.50
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Potgieter, AldrichPotgieter, Aldrich
74074.0%1527973——-2.71-2.79+1.66-1.48-0.09
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Young, CameronYoung, Cameron
16713.0%1538271——-3.21-0.79-0.85-1.72+0.16
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McNealy, MaverickMcNealy, Maverick
6322.0%1537380——-3.21+0.55-0.79-3.11+0.14
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Campbell, BrianCampbell, Brian
37267.0%1537974——-3.21-3.43-0.98+0.51+0.69
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Horschel, BillyHorschel, Billy
13187.0%1537974——-3.21-1.22-0.55-0.98-0.46
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Kim, TomKim, Tom
6757.0%1547876——-3.71-0.44+0.20-0.51-2.95
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Dunlap, NickDunlap, Nick
44776.0%1547480——-3.71-3.80+0.11+0.00-0.02
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Campos, RafaelCampos, Rafael
545455.0%1568076——-4.71-2.80-0.39-1.51-0.02
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Pavon, MatthieuPavon, Matthieu
49180.0%1587583——-5.71-2.08-2.43-0.60-0.60
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Henley, RussellHenley, Russell
4115.0%27772686770+3.18+0.38+0.30+1.59+0.91
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Morikawa, CollinMorikawa, Collin
2568.0%27871686772+2.93+0.95+1.16+0.94-0.12
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Conners, CoreyConners, Corey
9302.0%27969706971+2.68+0.43+0.73+0.81+0.71
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Kim, MichaelKim, Michael
10563.0%28075696769+2.43+0.58+0.97+0.58+0.30
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Straka, SeppStraka, Sepp
6342.0%28177666969+2.18-0.20+1.15-0.32+1.55
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Bradley, KeeganBradley, Keegan
6322.0%28169727664+2.18-0.01+1.62+0.25+0.31
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Lowry, ShaneLowry, Shane
5038.0%28269677670+1.93-0.44+0.89+0.50+0.98
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Rose, JustinRose, Justin
34682.0%28370737169+1.68+0.00+0.98-0.59+1.29
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An, Byeong HunAn, Byeong Hun
14320.0%28376697068+1.68+0.87+0.98-0.24+0.07
—
Day, JasonDay, Jason
10753.0%28376646974+1.68+0.33+0.16-0.25+1.44
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Rai, AaronRai, Aaron
7895.0%28474726771+1.43+0.28+0.61+0.58-0.05
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Fleetwood, TommyFleetwood, Tommy
3238.0%28475726968+1.43+0.57+0.64+0.26-0.03
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Scheffler, ScottieScheffler, Scottie
716.0%28471727170+1.43+1.67+0.11+0.98-1.33
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MacIntyre, RobertMacIntyre, Robert
6486.0%28474716871+1.43+0.78+0.62-0.16+0.18
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McIlroy, RoryMcIlroy, Rory
1076.0%28570707372+1.18+0.36-0.61+0.35+1.08
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Berger, DanielBerger, Daniel
9146.0%28578696870+1.18+0.73-0.05+0.36+0.14
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Bridgeman, JacobBridgeman, Jacob
19169.0%28575736968+1.18+0.26-0.19+0.60+0.52
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McCarthy, DennyMcCarthy, Denny
8759.0%28673737367+0.93-0.29+0.56-1.12+1.78
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Im, SungjaeIm, Sungjae
4087.0%28776677470+0.68+0.45-0.86+0.53+0.56
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Kim, Si WooKim, Si Woo
10508.0%28770727372+0.68+0.04-0.89+1.50+0.03
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Bezuidenhout, ChristiaanBezuidenhout, Christiaan
16349.0%28769757073+0.68-0.39-0.41+0.81+0.66
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Greyserman, MaxGreyserman, Max
11194.0%28870717572+0.43-0.25-0.75+0.65+0.77
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Clark, WyndhamClark, Wyndham
15789.0%28867717674+0.43-0.03+0.08+0.81-0.44
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Matsuyama, HidekiMatsuyama, Hideki
4464.0%28873727469+0.43+0.29-0.54+1.42-0.73
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Rodgers, PatrickRodgers, Patrick
10067.0%28874747070+0.43+0.09+0.24+0.15-0.05
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Zalatoris, WillZalatoris, Will
8392.0%28875727269+0.43+0.92+1.07-0.04-1.52
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Fitzpatrick, MattFitzpatrick, Matt
9804.0%28878696972+0.43-0.12-1.01-0.24+1.81
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Hughes, MackenzieHughes, Mackenzie
35503.0%28873707273+0.43+0.21-0.48+0.24+0.46
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Kirk, ChrisKirk, Chris
18018.0%28874737269+0.43+0.55-0.03+0.45-0.54
—
Aberg, LudvigAberg, Ludvig
2959.0%28872717768+0.43+1.37-0.60-0.85+0.50
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Cantlay, PatrickCantlay, Patrick
3868.0%28971747569+0.18-0.65+0.77+0.33-0.27
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Taylor, NickTaylor, Nick
13793.0%28975726973+0.18+0.04+0.93-0.22-0.57
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Spaun, J.J.Spaun, J.J.
8969.0%28975717370+0.18+0.37+1.26-0.49-0.96
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Eckroat, AustinEckroat, Austin
16043.0%29074707571-0.07+0.59+0.08-0.75+0.01
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Novak, AndrewNovak, Andrew
19169.0%29074736578-0.07+0.57-1.20+0.39+0.17
—
Finau, TonyFinau, Tony
7576.0%29172716880-0.32+0.53-0.10-0.89+0.14
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Glover, LucasGlover, Lucas
13889.0%29177707173-0.32-0.06+1.18-0.37-1.07
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Thomas, JustinThomas, Justin
2812.0%29171707476-0.32+0.56+0.26+0.18-1.32
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Scott, AdamScott, Adam
10118.0%29175727074-0.32+0.34-0.43-0.71+0.48
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Stevens, SamStevens, Sam
18237.0%29278707470-0.57+0.28+0.25-0.37-0.73
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Hoge, TomHoge, Tom
65217.0%29273727077-0.57-1.05+0.10-0.68+1.06
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Schauffele, XanderSchauffele, Xander
2731.0%29277717569-0.57+0.20+0.57-1.27-0.07
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McGreevy, MaxMcGreevy, Max
22556.0%29276727371-0.57+0.24+0.83-1.62-0.02
—
Harman, BrianHarman, Brian
14963.0%29273747372-0.57-0.76+0.59-0.01-0.40
—
Griffin, BenGriffin, Ben
7926.0%29375727274-0.82-0.67-1.24+0.29+0.81
—
Hadwin, AdamHadwin, Adam
45113.0%29375697673-0.82-0.80-0.39+0.44-0.07
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Salinda, IsaiahSalinda, Isaiah
32967.0%29377717273-0.82+0.84-0.87+0.07-0.85
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Koivun, JacksonKoivun, Jackson
260870.0%29472727575-1.07+0.33-1.05-0.98+0.63
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Burns, SamBurns, Sam
6173.0%29476717374-1.07-0.66-2.39+0.50+1.48
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Poston, J.T.Poston, J.T.
15707.0%29576717573-1.32+0.02+1.30-0.19-2.45
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Cole, EricCole, Eric
53097.0%29574717674-1.32-1.01-0.57+0.78-0.52
Potgieter, Aldrich
+151
+111
+74026.6%
CUT
loss
Hoge, TomHoge, Tom
+251+351+65194.8%T40loss
Cole, EricCole, Eric
+301+251+53068.5%T50loss
Pavon, MatthieuPavon, Matthieu
+351+301+49155.1%CUTloss
Hadwin, AdamHadwin, Adam
+251+226+45082.3%T45loss
Dunlap, NickDunlap, Nick
+201+151+44736.2%CUTloss
Homa, MaxHoma, Max
+151+126+43120.8%CUTloss
Campbell, BrianCampbell, Brian
+176+176+37230.8%CUTloss

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