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PGA · Archived event · 2025

TOUR Championship · East Lake Golf Club

2025-08-24 · 30 player field · Winner: Fleetwood, Tommy

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GolfIQ · Live storyline

Pre-tournament favorite finished

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highest pre-tournament win prob

Top-10 hit rate

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actual top-10 found in predicted top-10

Predicted field

30

players in pre-tournament archive

Final results

Leaderboard

30 players

FinPlayerPre-win%TotalR1R2R3R4SG TotalOTTAPPARGPUTT
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Fleetwood, TommyFleetwood, Tommy
1424.0%26264636768+2.32-0.26+0.66-0.12+2.04
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Henley, RussellHenley, Russell

Closing-line value

Bet365 close vs. DataGolf model

top 10 by edge

PlayerOpenCloseEdgeFinishResult
Novak, AndrewNovak, Andrew
+161+176+29520.8%T25loss
Bridgeman, JacobBridgeman, Jacob
+111+101+17701.2%T27loss
Taylor, Nick
1792.0%
265
61
66
69
69
+1.57
+0.30
+0.69
-0.11
+0.69
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Cantlay, PatrickCantlay, Patrick
4521.0%26564666471+1.57+0.18+1.52-0.41+0.28
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Scheffler, ScottieScheffler, Scottie
319.0%26663696668+1.32+0.08+0.33+0.80+0.12
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Young, CameronYoung, Cameron
5038.0%26667627166+1.32+0.21+0.91-0.13+0.33
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Conners, CoreyConners, Corey
5607.0%26670676762+1.32+0.53+0.73-0.58+0.64
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Bradley, KeeganBradley, Keegan
4559.0%26770646370+1.07-0.24+0.61+0.48+0.21
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Burns, SamBurns, Sam
4222.0%26767666866+1.07-0.12-0.24+0.45+0.98
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Thomas, JustinThomas, Justin
3521.0%26764696965+1.07+0.19-0.54+0.54+0.88
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Griffin, BenGriffin, Ben
6067.0%26866676867+0.82+0.14-0.14-0.09+0.89
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Gotterup, ChrisGotterup, Chris
7335.0%26870636966+0.82+0.67+0.59-0.36-0.08
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Hovland, ViktorHovland, Viktor
3186.0%26968716763+0.57+0.23+0.30+0.04-0.00
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Harman, BrianHarman, Brian
8683.0%27067716963+0.32-0.73+1.32-0.46+0.20
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Lowry, ShaneLowry, Shane
8633.0%27070636869+0.32-0.68+0.54-0.35+0.80
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Bhatia, AkshayBhatia, Akshay
7117.0%27066676968+0.32-0.14+0.42+0.45-0.41
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English, HarrisEnglish, Harris
6073.0%27068666967+0.32+0.52-0.26-0.40+0.46
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Hall, HarryHall, Harry
6993.0%27170657066+0.07-0.47-0.26+0.49+0.30
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MacIntyre, RobertMacIntyre, Robert
5455.0%27164667269+0.07+0.68-0.77+0.44-0.29
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Taylor, NickTaylor, Nick
13072.0%27267676870-0.18+0.56-0.94+0.52-0.31
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Morikawa, CollinMorikawa, Collin
2869.0%27264707068-0.18+0.27+0.87-0.38-0.95
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Aberg, LudvigAberg, Ludvig
2667.0%27366687168-0.43+0.56-1.78+0.81-0.02
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Rose, JustinRose, Justin
7246.0%27369706965-0.43-0.36+0.37-0.35-0.09
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McIlroy, RoryMcIlroy, Rory
1371.0%27466677170-0.68+0.86-0.02-0.19-1.34
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McNealy, MaverickMcNealy, Maverick
4651.0%27471646970-0.68-0.14-0.21-0.66+0.33
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Novak, AndrewNovak, Andrew
29557.0%27670686870-1.18-0.97+0.47+0.04-0.73
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Spaun, J.J.Spaun, J.J.
3544.0%27668717166-1.18-0.21-0.68-0.22-0.08
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Bridgeman, JacobBridgeman, Jacob
17751.0%28067677571-2.18-0.13-1.22+0.20-1.04
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Im, SungjaeIm, Sungjae
11009.0%28068677768-2.18-0.34-1.19-0.49-0.17
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Matsuyama, HidekiMatsuyama, Hideki
4598.0%28369697669-2.93-0.17-1.09+0.20-1.87
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Straka, SeppStraka, Sepp
4478.0%28774657771-3.93-1.03-0.97-0.17-1.77
Taylor, Nick
+101
+101
+13022.2%
T19
loss
Im, SungjaeIm, Sungjae
+81+81+10953.8%T27loss
Harman, BrianHarman, Brian
+67+71+8624.5%T13loss
Lowry, ShaneLowry, Shane
+51+51+8566.8%T13loss
Gotterup, ChrisGotterup, Chris
+51+67+7275.1%T10loss
Rose, JustinRose, Justin
+41+51+7179.8%T21loss
Bhatia, AkshayBhatia, Akshay
+56+51+7050.8%T13loss
Hall, HarryHall, Harry
+51+51+6926.8%T17loss

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